Bill White -- America's fiscal constitution: its triumph and collapse ======================================================================= A historical explanation of how the U.S. Federal government came to the budget and debt situation that we currently own. For me, the most interesting part of the book is Part IV, which describes how the fiscal restraint on Federal budget deficits provided by what White calls "America's fiscal tradition" eroded, then revived, and then then collapsed from 1980 to the present. This is more than a political game of assigning blame and praise. It's also a reasonably good account of the political tendencies and influences that induce leaders and elites in a democratic government to enact policies which break the connection between income and spending. 1. Goofy theories and bad budget projections enable politicians to delude themselves into fantasy budgets. This proves, yet one more time, that we can convince ourselves of almost anything, no matter how bizarre, if we have the desire and motivation to do so. Why the failure to maintain a balanced budget? In part because of one especially egregious delusion, specifically the belief that if you limit income and taxes (which you want), then your political opponents will respond by cutting spending (which they do not want). 2. Budget plans that make good business sense and good sense for business while sacrificing those with the least to sacrifice can reduce deficits and the debt, too. Why the *limited* success? Because, those policies really were good for business and finance and the financial markets. But, we should not forget, that the rules and regulations (especially the stripping away of some financial regulations) planted explosive devices that became destructive in 2007-2008. 3. You can have as much as you want and anything you want if you learn to stop the pretense of even trying to balance the budget. This approach, in effect, says the pay-as-you-go approach is for suckers. White calls this the *collapse* of America's fiscal, pay-as-you-go tradition. Why the failure? Because, Congress and The President (George W. Bush) failed to support a mechanism to make tax cuts dependent on achieving budget milestones, in other words, disconnect income and spending. A bit of contrast -- On one side we have the theory that if you cut taxes, it will fuel economic growth and energize the nation's economy. And, on the other we have the theory that if the government pumps money into the nation's economy (stimulus, building infrastructure, tax rebates to workers, etc) it will simulate the economy. It is hard to determine which side White comes down on with respect to this issue. But, he is certainly clear on the following: (1) Debt incurred to deal with a recession must be paid down out of future earnings. (2) Political leaders (Republicans in particular) cannot expect the largest proportion of the population who own the smallest proportion of the wealth to pay for the tax cuts that went to a very small proportion of the population that holds a far larger proportion of the nation's wealth. (3) White believes that we cannot reduce deficits by raising taxes alone; some mix of spending cuts *and* increased taxes must be used. This, by the way, is an especially vexing problem now in the U.S.A. where we have one major political party (Republicans) whose elected officials have sworn a pledge now to raise taxes and who live in fear of the backlash that will happen if they vote in favor of doing so. A summary from a left-of-center point of view: During the last 30 plus years we in the U.S.A. have had Republican Administrations that break the piggy bank in order to give money back to their political financiers followed by Democratic Administrations that try to repair the damage either by reducing the deficit (Clinton) or save us from a financial and economic collapse (Obama), and during it all Republicans *talk* about how they are fiscal conservatives and are trying to save the nation's finances. Sometimes two opposite or extreme positions do not add up to a compromise between those two positions. That's a fundamental problem in a democratic form of government. And, one of the values of White's book is to give a good descriptive account of how that has happened in our recent (and not so recent) history here in the U.S.A. If we don't learn our mistakes, we won't learn how to correct them. 05/22/2014 .. vim:ft=rst:fo+=a: